Project overview
Augur turns a geopolitical, institutional, or social question into a resolution contract, gathers tagged material across several analytical lanes, maps incentives and structural pressure, and keeps only analogies whose mechanisms transfer. It produces a three-to-five-path scenario tree with probability bands, early indicators, and disconfirmers, then stores forecasts for Brier scoring after resolution. Forecasts are inherently uncertain and are intended for analysis and education, not investment, legal, financial, or security decisions.
Repository facts
- Primary language
- Python
- License
- MIT
- Repository updated
- Jul 1, 2026
- Default branch
- main
Resource types
General skill
Use cases
Research and knowledge
Platforms
Claude Code, Codex, and more
Capabilities
Verification and evals