polymarket-brier-skill
Persists Polymarket forecasts and scores their calibration after resolution.
Persists Polymarket forecasts and scores their calibration after resolution.
polymarket-brier-skill asks Claude Code for a probability and a falsifiable resolution criterion for a Polymarket question, persists the forecast, and computes Brier scores after the market resolves. Source tags let you compare yourself, an influencer, another model, or the market consensus in a calibration ledger and digest. It currently supports Polymarket only, treats disputed resolutions as final, and warns that small samples are noisy.
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Public GitHub facts last synced Jul 10, 2026.
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