Project overview
polymarket-brier-skill asks Claude Code for a probability and a falsifiable resolution criterion for a Polymarket question, persists the forecast, and computes Brier scores after the market resolves. Source tags let you compare yourself, an influencer, another model, or the market consensus in a calibration ledger and digest. It currently supports Polymarket only, treats disputed resolutions as final, and warns that small samples are noisy.
Repository facts
- Primary language
- Python
- License
- MIT
- Repository updated
- Jun 19, 2026
- Default branch
- main
Resource types
General skill
Use cases
Research and knowledge
Platforms
Claude Code, Codex, and more
Runtime
Local
Capabilities
Verification and evals