General skillResearch and knowledge

polymarket-brier-skill

Persists Polymarket forecasts and scores their calibration after resolution.

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License
MIT
Updated
Updated Jun 19, 2026

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Project overview

polymarket-brier-skill asks Claude Code for a probability and a falsifiable resolution criterion for a Polymarket question, persists the forecast, and computes Brier scores after the market resolves. Source tags let you compare yourself, an influencer, another model, or the market consensus in a calibration ledger and digest. It currently supports Polymarket only, treats disputed resolutions as final, and warns that small samples are noisy.

Repository facts

Primary language
Python
License
MIT
Repository updated
Jun 19, 2026
Default branch
main

Resource types

General skill

Use cases

Research and knowledge

Platforms

Claude Code, Codex, and more

Runtime

Local

Capabilities

Verification and evals

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